Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.387757 0.459700 0.540019 0.636154 0.747905 0.873519 1.025220
2025-01-05 0.284547 0.378363 0.494342 0.647480 0.843501 1.085046 1.404182
2025-01-12 0.221588 0.320899 0.453252 0.640953 0.898413 1.236990 1.713350
2025-01-19 0.180662 0.281084 0.423578 0.637945 0.949069 1.380325 2.018447
2025-01-26 0.158321 0.262058 0.417394 0.663109 1.037134 1.578897 2.414797
2025-02-02 0.151388 0.264267 0.441240 0.733357 1.196203 1.891733 3.002850
2025-02-09 0.136439 0.250766 0.438130 0.760272 1.290539 2.115580 3.477411
2025-02-16 0.117634 0.227461 0.415444 0.751750 1.326156 2.250283 3.824184
2025-02-23 0.099376 0.201979 0.385213 0.725922 1.328961 2.330811 4.088880
2025-03-02 0.083190 0.177563 0.353242 0.692380 1.313656 2.378123 4.300242
2025-03-09 0.076826 0.171039 0.352770 0.714981 1.398167 2.599552 4.821625
2025-03-16 0.065953 0.153623 0.329281 0.691480 1.396040 2.669383 5.084577
2025-03-23 0.060261 0.146563 0.325844 0.707591 1.472052 2.889548 5.642086
2025-03-30 0.054748 0.139045 0.320589 0.719678 1.542108 3.106020 6.213560
2025-04-06 0.048310 0.128257 0.306882 0.712470 1.572840 3.250884 6.662945
2025-04-13 0.043043 0.119286 0.295779 0.709152 1.610587 3.411552 7.154315
2025-04-20 0.040575 0.116794 0.298820 0.736899 1.715495 3.711925 7.940018
2025-04-27 0.041450 0.123034 0.322835 0.814316 1.933573 4.255385 9.247056
2025-05-04 0.039213 0.120637 0.325962 0.843963 2.050137 4.600702 10.179507
2025-05-11 0.035046 0.112204 0.313183 0.834576 2.078708 4.765428 10.753796
2025-05-18 0.030446 0.101657 0.293557 0.806124 2.060678 4.829516 11.122093
2025-05-25 0.026063 0.090863 0.271670 0.769164 2.018619 4.837510 11.370542
2025-06-01 0.024737 0.089188 0.273938 0.794070 2.126531 5.183772 12.376047